Earlier this week, NBC's Jeff Zucker kerfluffed the blogonets by touting NBC's move to year-round scheduling. Fox's chief scheduler, Preston Beckman, retorted by touting Fox's similar designs, which date from August 2004. Regardless which was first, both moves are part of the Net's gradual deprecation of the anachronistic spring upfronts and fall season debuts, a process which began as a way to staunch the flow of viewers to cable during the summer months.
Now, in addition to competing with cable, the Nets need to build synergies with their own Web media. That media is 24x7, neverending, constant. NBC and Fox (and ABC and CBS) must be constant, too.
A year ago I wrote an editorial for THR about why Hollywood must produce constant media (I can't find the full piece, but here's an abbreviated version). My argument mostly considered the emotional consequences of 24x7 Web media, i.e., if we're constantly exposed to online shows and events (viral vids, etc.) then we begin to rely on that media for entertainment. This is especially true during programming lulls, e.g., the summer months and the strike. The low buzz in the online background swells, sine wave-like with higher amplitudes and higher frequencies, until it has our attention.
Consider these graphs:
This graph estimates the buzz/viewership generated by movies (blue) and TV (green) without the interference of online media. For argument's/lazy's sake it's simplified, with constant strength waves lowering in amplitude/reach in the summer months (for TV, when reruns traditionally dominated) and rising in summer (for movies, when blockbusters debut).
This graph is Hollywood with the benefit of online media. (This is also me demonstrating my poor Photoshop skills, b/c these things look like the Teletubby landscape). Web media and chatter is constant. When "Lost" goes dark for six to seven months, those viewers flock online. Same for other shows. Same during the strike. Consider the glut of comedians online now, pimping their shows and resumes. Consider short vids like "Drunk History," which garner views in the millions. Consider the launch of the Independent Comedy Network, Ice Cube's UVNTV, Hammer's Dance Jam, Revision3's new shows, "Quarterlife" episodes, etc., etc. None of these shows are beholden to the traditional television format. They publish whenever, and in TV's vacuum -- whether strike or simply between seasons -- they will flourish.
The Net's challenge (and the studios) is to build off the Web's chatter. To use the high-frequency, low amplitude buzz as constructive interference. Not just try to create viral videos, but to build online experiences that will replace the traditional upfront buzz-building mechanism. Releasing television shows on TV year-round is one thing, but you're still pubbing slower than you could be online. So using the Web to seed the ideas -- pilots released on Yahoo and MySpace or on their own sites, shows that play online until they get enough buzz to jump ("Quarterlife"), etc. -- so that the networks always, always have something to tout -- that's the goal. Otherwise you're an anachronism that may as well publish a station ID tag for half the year.
I'm NOT arguing that TV is dead. Not by a long stretch. I'm simply saying that nothing builds allegiance more than frequency. Use the online frequency to your advantage.